Probability gated behind backtests

Scenario Calculator

Deterministic required-points calculations come before public probability percentages.

No false precision

The first release explains what a pilot needs rather than pretending to know exact odds.

Published snapshots only

Every calculation is tied to a ranking snapshot and rule set.

Deterministic calculator

Pure Sporting Code arithmetic (D.4 points, D.5 best-three) — the same engine that reproduces the official 2024/2025 annual rankings. No probabilities.

1 · Points for one event

37 ptsBase 37 + Bonus 0

2 · Your new best-three

Current counted scores (up to 3)

37 ptsProjected best-three counted: 37

3 · Reaching a target total

Assumes the next event is eligible (≥2 countries) and, unless stated, in a country not already counted. Country limits and ties follow Sporting Code Vol. F9 D.4/D.5.

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